“No Man’s life liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session”.

- attributed to NY State Judge Gideon Tucker



Saturday, October 6, 2007

Bernie Sanders on Economics, Trade and Protectionism

Yesterday, Larry Kudlow hosted an exchange between Vermont Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders and George Mason University Professor of Economics, Walter Williams.

To say that Sanders embarrassed himself by his ignorance and lack of awareness of modern economics and global realities is an understatement. Professor Williams easily made a fool of Sanders.

At one point, the Senator actually alleged that virtually all Chinese-made goods are inferior and dangerous to allow in the country, arguing, instead, that these should be made in the US. When Williams informed Sanders that he, Williams, had just purchased a Japanese-made car, Sanders expressed surprise and congratulated the Professor on finding an alternative source.

But, basically, Sanders' paean was the typical, tired leftist and socialist bromide that if only American companies would manufacture more goods onshore, we'd all be better off. Or at least Sanders' constituents would be.

Confronted with the realities of rising American manufacturing output over the past decades, with rising productivity, requiring fewer workers, Sanders missed the point. He railed at the lost jobs, rather than understanding the resulting rise in living standards brought about by this increase in productivity.

Despite Professor Williams' and Larry Kudlow's best efforts, Sanders remained resolute in his ignorance and stupidity.

What I realized, upon reflection, is not just that this Senator is, sadly, a representative of the Democratic majority in our upper chamber, with all his attendant misunderstanding of the operation of free market economics.

No, what really frightens me is that Sanders fails to distinguish between government which sets conditions, rules, and lets people create their own lives, wealth, and jobs, and government that legislates what will be made, by whom, where, and at what price.

Of course, that latter description tends toward either socialism or fascism.

By insisting that his voters must have jobs, and all US trade policy must directly ensure this, Sanders demonstrates his break with the country's actual past.

Our forefathers, who settled the Eastern seaboard, then pushed inland, were in pursuit of territory and resources with which they could fashion their own lives. They had no support network from the government. Nobody provided them with unemployment insurance, healthcare, or guaranteed jobs and wages.

Immigrants, of course, are an even more profound example of risk-taking citizens.

Now, we have Senators such as Sanders attempting to mandate industrial and trade policies to force companies to employ their voters.

They miss the fundamental fact of our free market system. Business and jobs go where necessary resources are. If Vermont workers are suitably educated and priced, and other aspects of Vermont are conducive to investment, then business will thrive there.

If not, in time, Vermonters, like their fore bearers, will pick up and move where there are jobs. Economic mobility is a key feature of our successful economic system. Our immigrant history adds to this expectation.

What Sanders and his ilk fail to realize is that our population, like our economy, is mobile and accepting of risk.

Does anyone seriously believe Bernie Sanders and 99 others like him can plan our economy better than tens of thousands of risk-taking business owners and millions of risk-taking workers? When did we come to expect certainty, either in business success, or employment?

It troubles me greatly that the perspectives, ignorance and values of Bernie Sanders, socialist, may well influence the evolution of our free market economic system in years to come, without a return to the majority of conservatives in the Congress.

Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Democratic Presidential Candidates Change Their Tune on Iraq

Did anyone else catch the Democratic hopefuls' mass change of tune on Iraq at their last Bush-bash...er.....debate?

I saw some clips of their responses on O'Reilly last week, and my jaw almost dropped.

All three Oval Office wannabes- Hillary, Obama and Edwards, when pressed, declined to promise that troops would be out of Iraq by the end of 2009.

Funny, that. Haven't they all assailed Bush constantly for keeping troops there?

Yes, when given the clear, explicit opportunity to put their money and promises where their mouths are, each one, individually, cited unforeseen circumstances and developments which might hinder their ability to implement the total withdrawal they've been pressing our sitting President to conduct.

Cynical, or just newly-cautious? I'd guess some of both, really.

All three Dems are becoming wary of the sound bite that will, well, bite her/him in the ass, come the general election campaign. None of them want to promise total withdrawal, only to have conditions change in mid-campaign, or seem too soft on terrorism.

If they are caving on such a knife's edge issue this early, what else will they waffle on in the coming months?

And what punishment will moveon.org extract from them for their transgressions?

Sunday, September 30, 2007

Bill Clinton's Continuing Scandals

Last Wednesday's Wall Street Journal featured a fascinating article describing how scandal and smarmy behavior continue to dog former President Bill Clinton.

The story involves Clinton's new right-hand man, Douglas Band, and a wannabe Italian power broker named Raffaello Follieri. It's the sort of thing that comes right out of the old nighttime television soap opera, Dallas.

Essentially, Band, who had climbed up the Clinton staff ladder to become a trusted advisor, befriended Follieri, who was on the make for important American financial and social connections.

Meanwhile, Clinton had taken a lucrative position as a partner in Yucaipa Companies, a California-based investment firm. Since he left office, Clinton has allegedly turned his and his wife's sizable personal debts into a small fortune, thanks to earning $40MM in speaking fees.

Nevertheless, Clinton turned to his partners a Yucaipa to compensate his new key man, Mr. Band, so that the latter would not take offers to return to the business world. Arrangements were made for Yucaipa to direct various payments to Band in exchange for continuing to remain as Clinton's key staffer.

Such proximity to the former President helped Band in other ways, as well. Mr. Follieri used his growing friendship with Mr. Band to secure financing from a partnership formed by Yucaipa, via Bill Clinton, to help him buy Catholic Church properties and redevelop them for commercial uses.

The Yucaipa partnership, via Ron Burkle, one of its partners, invested $100MM with Mr. Follieri's venture. Another Clinton pal, Mr. Michael Cooper, advanced more money to Follieri, allegedly causing the latter to pay Mr. Band $400,000 for his efforts in making this connection bear fruit.

It seems, though, that Mr. Follieri focused more energy and money on his offices, than on actually executing the business plan which attracted the Yucaipa funding. Somewhat cynically, Follieri had promised that the US Catholic Church, in order to pay its mounting legal bills and settlements for various transgressions by its priests, would be selling real estate to raise that cash. Follieri presented himself as having key relationships which would give him an inside track to buying and developing these properties.

However, first, Follieri secured expensive offices on Fifth Avenue in New York, as well as a penthouse space in the same building. Shortly thereafter, he moved into the penthouse. Other lavish expenses triggered a lawsuit by Mr. Burkle for misappropriation of funds from Yucaipa.

Meanwhile, Follieri used his contacts, via Mr. Band, to try to establish business ties with former Brazilian President Cardozo, as well as Mexican tycoon Carlos Slim.

Back in the original US business foray, Follieri's group did manage to buy about $50MM worth of properties near Chicago and Philadelphia. However, the pace of the purchases, and interactions with Messrs. Cooper and Burkle did not go well.

Overlaid on this, of course, is a muddle involving Follieri and Hillary Clinton's campaign. Follieri alleges that Hillary's campaign staff requested his help to woo Catholic voters, while the staffers counter that Follieri offered his help to them.

Either way, the entire mess seems to be par for the course for Slick Willy. Follieri approached him for entree to partners with more money for investments. In exchange for buying access via Clinton's key aide, Mr. Band, Follieri came away with more than $100MM from a partnership formed by Clinton's new business base. Then things fell apart, and Clinton's partners are suing the young Italian who had suddenly become part of Clinton's expanded circle of international contacts.

Pictures of Follieri and his significant other, actress Anne Hathaway, with the Clintons, are now explained with that familiar 'he gets his picture taken with lots of people whom he really doesn't know' line.

Somehow, you get the feeling that Clinton and his minions did a lot less sniffing around Follieri's past dealings than the Journal's reporters did. They carefully avoid libel, but leave the distinct impression that Follieri is an Italian on the make in the US, puffing up his prior business accomplishments, and running a very agreeable-sounding sort of con game to shake tens of millions of investment capital from gullible American financiers.

Some things don't seem to change. I saw Maria Bartiromo of CNBC interviewing Clinton last week, I suppose in connection with his big 'Clinton Global Initiative' meeting in New York. Why she, or her network, thinks Bill Clinton has the experience or background to opine on any business matter, such as the recent mortgage market meltdown, is beyond me.

It seems that scandal, losses, and shady business dealings seem to cling to Bill Clinton even now, eight years after his rather scandalous departure from the White House.

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Bush's Spending Record: Does Anybody Remember There's A War Going On?

On CNBC earlier this week, a fallacious analysis , by the Heritage Foundation, no less, was presented, contending that Federal spending growth under Clinton was about half (3%) of what it has been under Bush (7%).

Does anyone remember we're fighting a shooting war in Iraq and Pakistan?

To compare total spending under Clinton, who, by the way, was interested in shrinking the military, with that under Bush, is like saying FDR just started spending through the roof one day, under conditions no different from those on Herbert Hoover's watch, conveniently overlooking the occurrence WWII.

What gives here? Between repairing defense after Clinton starved that spending, and combating the terrorism threat that President also left intact, Bush had no choice but, amidst the response to hostile attacks on US soil, reply with force, necessitating increased spending.

In his editorial letter in the Wall Street Journal offering a defense against Alan Greenspan's charges of Bush administration profligacy, Vice President Dick Cheney pointedly compares growth in discretionary spending categories between Clinton's and Bush's terms.

Finally, let's recall that, after Congress challenged President Nixon's use of impoundment, in court, and won, no subsequent President can be held fully accountable for Congressional spending. Rather than being able to use a line item veto, impoundment, or any other conditional means of tempering Congress' spending, a President is left with only a veto of total spending bills. Which bills tend to be omnibus affairs calculated to dare a President to starve the Federal government of funding, in order to further various other political and spending agendas.

There is simply no comparison between Federal government spending rates during Clinton's and Bush's terms of office. The war in Iraq and Pakistan make a basis for any such comparison difficult to establish, with Cheney's approach being the most realistic. And on that score, examining non-defense, security and discretionary items, Bush is actually doing quite well.

Monday, September 24, 2007

HillaryCare 2.0 Previews in California....and It's Failing

A recent Wall Street Journal article provides some important insights into the developing fate of HillaryCare 2.0, the newly-unveiled universal healthcare proposals from Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

The first surprise, for me, at least, is that California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger's healthcare plan was primarily designed by the same architect who designed HillaryCare 2.0- Laurie Rubiner. Ms. Rubiner has solid liberal-left wing credentials going back some years, including "directing health-care issues at the liberal New America Foundation," according to the Journal article.

Among the features shared by "ArnoldCare" and "HillaryCare 2.0," are: universal coverage mandates; ban on premium differentials based on actual health status; expansion of Medicaid, and; a requirement that insurers offer policies to all applicants.

The experiences of ArnoldCare suggest HillaryCare 2.0 could be in for a lot of trouble. The Democratically-controlled California legislature won't even pass the plan. According to the Journal's piece,

"It was too tax-heavy for Republicans and not nearly interventionist enough for Democrats."

Lots of people seem to believe that the next President just has to be a Democrat, because George Bush's poll numbers are so low. Then, they'll tell you that that Democrat has to be Hillary, because- well, here the reasons multiply, but essentially- it's "her" time, time for a woman to win the Oval Office, she's punched her ticket in the Senate, yada yada.

I think these people conveniently forget that, in some cases, what the candidate stands for, by her/himself, will actually matter. It seems to me that the same people who criticize Fred Thompson for only having character or values, and no detailed plans, overlook Hillary's total absence of declared values, and her implied, totally-political and calculating character.

This time, however, Hillary may have made a big mistake. She's once again revealed her core socialist stripes, by floating a national universal healthcare program devoid of market elements, aping an ailing approach that the largest state in the Union can't manage to implement.

Now, we discover the plans really are so alike because they share a common architect- Laurie Rubiner.

I wouldn't bet on Hillary just yet. She seems to have a whole year left in which to make some career-limiting mistakes, on the campaign trail to the White House in 2009.

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Bad Science, Sloppy Analysis

The Wall Street Journal, in its Friday "Science Journal" column on September 14th, reported on medical scholar John Ioannidis' review of 'scientific research, ' both published and, especially troubling, refereed.

The headline on this topic is that much published science is misleading, inaccurate, and/or simply wrong. Ioannidis found flaws in miscalculations, inept study design, and self-serving data analyses. In the Journal piece, he is quoted as saying,

"There is an increasing concern that in modern research, false findings may be the majority or even the vast majority of published research claims. A new claim about a research finding is more likely to be false than true."

Dr. Ioannidis goes on to warn that the 'hotter' the field, the more suspect are the research findings claims.

As I was reading this article, one topic kept coming to mind. Of course, it's global warming.

Of all the recent junk science claims, global warming would seem to most fit Dr. Ionannidis' description of poorly done, dubious claims.

Little of the supporting "evidence" comes from refereed papers or Journal articles. Instead, those who would dispute any global warming findings are shouted down as in the pocket of big business, or having the wrong politics.

Environmental change is perhaps, currently, the penultimate 'hot' field. Each new finding supporting global warming is front page news. Conflicting findings are often simply ignored.

For instance, the recent discovery that this century's hottest year was actually early on, in the first two decades, poked a major hole in on Federal government scientist's contentions regarding recent warming trends. When confronted with his mistake, he alleged that recent temperature trends were not the basis on which he had made various claims.

Dr. Ioannidis' own research is both refreshing, and troubling. Refreshing for daring to find that many scientists' work is poorly done, mistake-laden, and suspect. Troubling, in that much government policy and public perception are shaped by such incorrect published scientific work.

Monday, September 17, 2007

Norman Podhoretz on World War IV

The Wall Street Journal recently published a review of Norman Podhoretz's new book, "World War IV," by Christopher Willcox.

It's a clear review of an obviously riveting, declarative book. Referring to the 1945-1998 period of cold war as WW III, Podhoretz identifies the current era as a world war with terrorism.

He questions whether America has the will to win, let alone survive, this war. If there's a difference.

Podhoretz unequivocally backs President Bush in the belief that this is a defining, global war- not a series of skirmishes with relatively insignificant bands of local or regional terrorists.

This quote from the review pretty much sums up Podhoretz's views,

"Mr. Podhoretz handles the swift radicalization of top Democrats with gusto, quoting most of them as ferocious Saddam critics before the invasion and, as the war became difficult, newly ferocious critics of the U.S. invasion. Teddy Kennedy leaves the rails completely when he reacts to the serious abuses at Abu Ghraib prison by declaring on the Senate floor that "the torture chamber of Saddam Hussein has been reopened under new management -- American management."

It is precisely such rhetoric, and the moral-equivalence reasoning behind it, that makes it especially appropriate to remember Whittaker Chambers's Cold War doubts about the West's capacity to defend itself. Mr. Podhoretz believes that the West may face an even more formidable foe today. This time, it lurks in shadowy networks of oil-enabled jihadists, mullahs and despots who are at war with modernity and can count on the support of millions of militant Islamists. If such people succeed in getting their hands on weapons of mass destruction, they will surely use them.

Pre-emption may thus turn out to be a compelling option for whoever wins the presidency in 2008. If so, the Bush Doctrine -- like Harry Truman's earlier doctrine of containment -- will have a longer life than its critics imagine. And, yes, Mr. Podhoretz reminds us, Harry Truman had some pretty lousy poll numbers when he left office, too. "

And I loved this quote used to describe the liberal Democratic position on the war on terror,

"Here is hapless John Kerry running for president two years after 9/11: "We have to get back to the place where we were, where terrorists are not the focus of our lives, but they're a nuisance. As a former law enforcement person, I know we're never going to end prostitution. We're never going to end illegal gambling. But we're going to reduce it, organized crime, to a level where it isn't on the rise. It isn't threatening people's lives every day, and fundamentally, it's something that you continue to fight, but it's not threatening the fabric of your life."

I've never actually read any of Podhoretz's books. Only occasional articles. But I know I follow in his ideological footsteps. This is one of his books which I will likely buy, read, and treasure.