“No Man’s life liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session”.

- attributed to NY State Judge Gideon Tucker



Friday, February 1, 2008

An Analysis of Liberal Slanting of Federal Spending From the Pages of The WSJ

I generally like the Wall Street Journal immensely. As an American daily business newspaper, it has no peer. It's editorial page, while tilting right, is fair and fact-based.

With Al Hunt's departure some years ago, the editorial page lost its last shred of liberal-leaning nuttiness. Not so the news pages, though.

To demonstrate this, let's consider the recent article, entitled "Legacy of Deficits Will Constrain Bush's Successor," from Friday's Journal, written by Michael Phillips and John McKinnon. It's a textbook case in how the use of suggestive, biased adjectives, selective data and judiciously dressed-up contradictory facts can be used to lead a reader to a totally erroneous conclusion.

To begin with, you need to remember something that occurred in my own youth. It's the impoundment issue. A Time magazine article of the era, found here, nicely summarizes the issue,

"Faced with what he considered a profligate Congress, Richard Nixon transformed an occasional practice of former Presidents into a tactic of confrontation. Claiming he had a presidential right of impoundment, Nixon simply refused to spend at least $16 billion appropriated by Congress for a variety of projects. In 1973 the Supreme Court, aware that it might soon face more serious tests of presidential power, ducked the issue. Last week, with those problems behind them, the Justices turned to an impoundment-related suit and by a 9-to-0 vote delivered one more resounding no to the Nixon doctrine of Executive power.

The case involved Nixon's decision to spend no more than $5 billion of the $11 billion that Congress had appropriated, over his veto, for water-pollution control. Although the court stuck strictly to the language of the pollution law and avoided any sorting of federal powers, Justice Byron White's opinion bluntly agreed with the plaintiff, New York City, that "the act does not permit such action" by any President.

That should just about end the confrontation; Congress last year passed a law eliminating any future Nixon-style impoundment. Under the new law, the President must get the approval of a majority of Congress if he wishes to withhold any authorized funds. He may delay the spending—but only if he tells Congress, and if a majority of either House does not vote against the delay."

This is important, because it plants the stake in the ground at 1973-74 for the last time a President was truly responsible for Federal spending. And I mean either party. For the last 35 years, Congress has been the budget-busting branch of the US Government, not the Executive.

So, on to the Journal article.

The authors begin with these paragraphs, which read like they were meant for a similar article in the People's Daily, a/k/a The New York Times,

"George W. Bush took office in 2001 with budget surpluses projected to stretch years into the future. But it's almost certain that when he returns to Texas next year, the president will leave behind a trail of deficits and debt that will sharply constrain his successor.

On Monday, the president will unveil a $3 trillion-plus budget request for his final year, which is likely to show a deficit of more than $400 billion. New details of the budget emerged yesterday, with officials saying the White House plans to keep a lid on nonsecurity discretionary spending. It wants to cut about $200 billion from the government's medical programs for seniors and the poor."

Read on its own, the passages has you forgetting we're in a shooting war in two countries, and the overall Federal deficit has, in fact, been shrinking under President Bush. Because the authors use 'projected' budget surpluses, they easily suggest Bush has been profligate.

Next, the authors write,

"The longer-term picture is darker. Despite his efforts, Mr. Bush failed to work out a deal with Congress to tackle the spiraling costs of government health and retirement programs."

See how perspective poisons the message? The same reality could have been written thusly,

"The longer term picture is darker. Despite their efforts, members of Congress failed to work out a deal with President Bush to tackle the spiraling costs of government health and retirement programs,"

implying, correctly, that Congress, with the power of the purse, chose to ignore the looming fiscal debacle. Instead, by cleverly transposing terms, Phillips and McKinnon place blame on Bush, who has no budgetary authority.

With me so far? Good. Let's move further into this attack piece on Bush. The next passage I'll cite reads,

"The president's critics say his failings are twofold: He has squandered surpluses that could have helped pay down the $5 trillion federal debt. And he has let two terms pass without persuading Congress to take action that would preserve the government's social programs."

But how can a President, without the power of impoundment, squander anything? And, once again, the authors phrase the Federal impasse on spending programs as if it's purely Bush's fault, because he didn't persuade Congress. Congress writes the laws. Isn't it Congress' job to persuade the President to sign their bills?

Then the article's authors surprise us with this candid bit of Bush defense,

"Mr. Bush's defenders say he did the best he could in the wake of the Sept. 11 attacks, and that he has recently tightened up on spending. The budget deficit in fiscal 2004 measured 3.6% of gross domestic product; last year it narrowed to 1.2% of GDP, low by historical standards. The deficit is expected to rise to 2.5% of GDP, or about $350 billion, this fiscal year, assuming Congress passes an expected economic-stimulus package.

"You could say, 'Gee, he inherited surpluses and now we have a deficit,'" said Rob Portman, the former head of the White House budget office under Mr. Bush. "On the other hand, you could say he inherited a recession" in 2001. Mr. Portman called the country's fiscal health "relatively strong" and said the president has left a solid base for "the next president and the next Congress to deal with the real problem, which is the unsustainable growth in mandatory spending." "

Enjoy it. Savor it. 'Cause it's all you're going to get. Next, they state,

"When Mr. Bush took the oath of office in 2001, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projected $5.6 trillion in federal budget surpluses through 2011. Through most of his tenure, the president managed to have his guns, butter and tax cuts without creating enormous budget deficits, at least as measured by their share of GDP. One reason was a surprise increase in federal tax receipts from corporations over the last couple of years. Now those revenues have flattened out and the economy is teetering on the edge of recession."

First, it's laughable to call the CBO nonpartisan. It's been left-leaning for as long as I've been old enough to vote. Even under Reagan, conservatives chafed that he wouldn't cashier the head of it, in order to force the introduction of 'dynamic scoring.' The CBO, in case you don't know, continues to use 'static scoring' to 'evaluate' the effects of various taxation and spending proposals on the Federal budget and deficit. By refusing to use dynamic scoring on tax proposals, the CBO indicates that it believes that changes in taxation policy has no effect on how people behave economically.

This is preposterous. The effects of the Reagan-era tax cuts, and Bush's more recent ones, solidly demonstrate that people do react to lower tax rates, earning more, creating more value and, consequentially, more tax revenue for the Federal Treasury.

That, by the way, is the source of the 'surprise increase in Federal tax receipts' of which Messrs. Phillips and McKinnon blithely write. So if the increase was a "surprise," doesn't that suggest the CBO doesn't do its job very well? And perhaps mandates for dynamic scoring?

"Mr. Bush and Congress, meanwhile, increased federal spending by 25% between 2001 and 2007, adjusted for inflation, according to Brian Riedl of the conservative Heritage Foundation. By Sept. 30, the U.S. will have spent almost $800 billion on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. A new Medicare prescription-drug benefit for seniors costs almost $80 billion a year. Mr. Bush's signature tax cuts, in 2001 and 2003, sapped tax receipts and sliced the projected budget surplus by about $1.7 trillion through 2011, according to the CBO."

This passage, as prior ones, again features inaccurate and biasing wordsmithing. Congress, not "Mr. Bush and Congress," increased federal spending. Remember impoundment?

Then the authors turn to fixing Social Security. Here's how they tar Bush on this issue. An issue, by the way, that only President Bush, among our recent Federal leaders, has had the courage to raise and for which he's offered a solution,

"Mr. Bush came into office in 2001 vowing to save Social Security from financial ruin. "My opponent completely ignores the long-term problems of Social Security," he said of Democratic nominee Al Gore during a New Mexico campaign stop in the waning days of the 2000 campaign. Eventually, the retirement bills for baby boomers would come due, he warned. "And our children and grandchildren will pay them with massive new taxes."

In 2005, Mr. Bush tried to tackle Social Security, on the theory that it should be easier to fix than Medicare. The latter is more expensive, and salvaging it would require the government to find a way to stem rising medical costs.

Mr. Bush approached the subject from a free-market point of view, calling on Congress to divert some of the Social Security payroll tax into individual investment accounts. Many Democrats and seniors saw it as an attempt to kill the program rather than fix it.

"The president put a proposal on the table, and I think he gets credit for that," says Alice Rivlin, President Clinton's budget director and a former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve. "But he wasn't willing to negotiate with the Congress to make it a serious proposal that both sides could accept. And Congress wasn't ready to negotiate." "

This is rich! The authors quote Alice Rivlin, a decidedly liberal politico and demagogue, Clinton appointee, as the source by which to find Bush guilty of not being 'willing to negotiate with the Congress to make it a serious proposal that both sides would accept.'

Again, they could have written, just as validly,

"But Congress wasn't willing to negotiate with the President to make it a serious proposal that both sides could accept. And Bush wasn't ready to negotiate."

Then we have this baldfaced assertion,

"Last year, Mr. Bush asked Congress to slow the rate of growth of Medicare spending, aiming to cut $8 trillion from the program's $34 trillion unfunded obligations over the next 75 years. But the president couldn't win congressional support."

Which is roughly equivalent to having written this, instead,

"Last year, Mr. Bush asked Congress to slow the rate of growth of Medicare spending, aiming to cut $8 trillion from the program's $34 trillion unfunded obligations over the next 75 years.

But Congress, always spending like a drunken sailor, refused to see the common sense of this proposal. Thus, with Congress' spending making drunken sailors look prudent by comparison, and the legislative branch's refusal to even consider trimming this profilgate spending, the president couldn't win congressional support."

The rest of the article deals with the alleged fiscal straitjacket which the authors contend President Bush will hand his successor.

I don't think so.

All you have to do is refresh your memory, or, if too young for that, learn about the 1970s impoundment issue, to see where the truth in this whole affair lies. It's Congress' 'legacy of deficits,' not any President's.

Blame both parties, in proportion to the years they led and corresponding runup in the country's deficit. Except, note that, with Bush in office, the Republican-controlled Congress did something Democrats rarely did in their years in power in Congress from the New Deal until the Gingrich era- shrink the Federal deficit.

It's pretty sad when the Wall Street Journal's staff writers, in this case, Messrs. Phillips and McKinnon, can't get basic facts straight. Facts I confirmed via Google in about 3 minutes.

How do we get such liberal, left-biased writing as 'news' in the Wall Street Journal? Will Rupert be fixing this?

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Another Presidential Election Molded by Our Nations' Fringe Elements

I was speaking with a friend last night, as we watched the Florida primary results.

Now, less than a month into 2008, each party's race is down to only two contenders. As a New Jersey resident, once again, most of my choices have been taken away from my by a weird fringe element of other US voters.

Why religious-oriented hayseeds and ethanol-barons from Iowa? Why one of the smallest, by population, states in the union, New Hampshire? A state, much of whose income is derived by residents who work in a neighboring state.

Michigan? A once-great, now threadbare state of auto workers looking for aid from the other 49?.

South Carolina? What's so special about that state? More religiosity, distinctly regional cultural values, and probably not a representative ethnic mix.

Florida? C'mon. Retiree-loaded, as well as heavily populated with ex- and current military personnel.

In truth, what state or states are appropriate as early primary states? None.

My friend and I bemoaned that, while living in a heavily-populated state, we've been disenfranchised by some extremists in states we rarely even visit. I don't think we even get in on "super Tuesday." Maybe the second one- I don't really even know. Or care, now.

In fact, here's some statistics to ponder. From the 2000 US Census, which listed US total population as 281 million,

Iowa 3MM
NH 1
Michigan 10
South Carolina 4
Florida 16
Total 34 million

That means five states, with a total of just 12% of our total population, are responsible for eliminating some 60% of each party's Presidential hopefuls.

How is this fair to anyone? To candidates, or voters? It means 88 out of every 100 voters don't get to choose from the original, declared full slate of their party's Presidential candidates in each election.

Isn't it time both parties moved to a single-day, omni-state primary system? What the hell is so special about Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina? Aren't the first two now simply using the quadrennial election as an excuse to boost their economies?

Let's be fair and strip them of this baseless privilege. Let's push our parties to simply designate one, nation-wide primary day. Just like the first Tuesday of every fourth November is the single date for our country's general elections for President.

Instead of silly media-stoked 'momentum' plays by candidates, they'd actually have to disseminate their single, unchanged positions and characteristics to voters for a single date of destiny.

Makes quite a bit more sense to me than the current system, in which we allow a few self-anointed, extreme bellwethers to dictate to the rest of us what candidates among whom we may choose for our party's Presidential nomination.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

The Kennedys' Endorsement

In what has to be, to a non-Democrat, a ludicrous spectacle, Democratic Senator, corrupting influence, self-parody and untried accessory to a killing, Ted Kennedy, endorsed Obama Bim Baden today.

The Tedster's looking typically corpulent and out of place/touch these days. Skipping the eight successful years of the Reagan era, Tedster opined that Obama is the most impressive politician, or somesuch, since the late President Kennedy.

Then we have John Kennedy's nephew and daughter weighing in.

Who cares?

"My dad was President, and he got shot.
That's why my endorsement means a lot"

Please.

What would Caroline or Patrick Kennedy know about the late President?

That he regularly cavorted with women in the White House pool while Jackie was away? That his father made arrangements with the Mafia to win Illinois for Jack?

That he and his brother shared women, while married, including Marilyn Monroe and Sam Giancana's mistress?

But let's review Kennedy's actual, if brief, record in office.

He green-lighted the disastrous Bay of Pigs invasion. Then his Dr. Feelgood got him too buzzed on meds and Nikita Krushev took his measure and decided he could be pushed around.

The result was the Cuban Missile Crisis, in which Kennedy narrowly avoided our first nuclear exchange.

Then there was the time he broke the steelworkers' strike. Good union man, Jack.

And what about sending advisors to Vietnam, in America's interests?

The only lasting, positive contribution Kennedy made was his tax cuts.

Funny thing. If you review Jack Kennedy's record, you get the feeling that, were he President today, Obama would be criticizing nearly everything he did.

In fact, Kennedy was very similar to George W. Bush- tax cutter and taking action abroad to protect American interests.

So it's richly ironic that red-faced, fat Teddy Kennedy, along with his niece and nephew, endorse a candidate who eschews almost everything John Kennedy did. In fact, John Kennedy was what today would be a centrist- to right-leaning Democrat, putting Hillary on his left. Obama wouldn't even come close to agreeing with him on anything.

Instead, the most liberal wing of the Kennedy family endorses Obama, and pretends it's like an endorsement from the grave by JFK.

Far from being a "uniter," Obama, if elected, is likely to be the most divisive President since Lincoln. A glib tongue and nicely-tailored suit doesn't qualify someone to be President, even if it makes them more pleasant to whom to listen as they campaign for the office.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Presidential Campaign Withdrawals- Recent and Imminent

A lot has occurred since my post after the New Hampshire primaries on January 9th.


Mitt Romney has evened things up with his Michigan win. The Democratic race is still wide open.

On the Republican side, Fred Thompson withdrew from the nomination race. While I personally like Thompson and agree with many of his positions, I didn't really think he could win. His debate performances were too slow and lackluster, until the very end.

Next up, I believe, will be Giuliani. He's running way behind McCain and Romney in Florida, the avowed opening of his serious campaign. Say what you will about his campaign strategy or qualifications, he just doesn't seem to be likely to get traction now.

I'd guess Hickabee is next. He isn't really running in Florida, and he's got nearly zero organization and funding for Super Tuesday.

So it's going to be down to McCain and Romney very soon.

On the Democratic side, Dennis 'the menace' (yes, that really was his old nickname) Kucinich finally pulled the plug. Gone, too, are Dodd and Biden.

After his third place in South Carolina, his home state, Edwards should be dropping out soon. The brawl that is now the Democratic race doesn't really have room for a third pugilist.

So the highly-probable match-ups for November are now clearing appearing. Candidates will now more likely be evaluated for their ability to win against known opponents, as well as their positions and records.